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James Hartley

Betting Strategy Editor

12 years of experience in quantitative sports betting, value identification, and football modelling. Specialises in expected value frameworks and staking system design.

Background

James spent a decade developing and testing quantitative betting systems before joining OddsAcademy as Strategy Editor. His background is in applied mathematics and statistical modelling โ€” he built his first Poisson football model as a graduate student and has been refining betting frameworks professionally since 2014.

His primary focus is on identifying edges in systematically underpriced markets, particularly lower-division European football, ATP Challenger tennis, and niche Asian handicap lines. He is a long-term Pinnacle user and was an early adopter of Betfair's exchange when it launched automated API access.

Editorial Focus

At OddsAcademy, James writes and edits all strategy and methodology content. His guiding principle: every claim on this site should be verifiable with mathematics or cited data. He does not write tips or predictions โ€” only frameworks and methods that readers can apply to their own analysis.

Expertise

Value Betting Expected Value Kelly Criterion Bankroll Management Asian Handicap Football Modelling Poisson Distribution Closing Line Value Betfair Exchange Trading
Quick Facts
Role
Strategy Editor
Experience
12 years
Specialism
Quant betting, EV
Primary sports
Football, Tennis
Preferred market
Asian Handicap
Editorial Standards

All strategy content is reviewed for mathematical accuracy before publication. Claims are backed by worked examples or cited primary research. No predictions or tips โ€” only frameworks.

Strategy Guides

Value Betting: The Complete Framework Strategy ยท 12 min

How to find and place positive expected value bets systematically.

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Bankroll Management & Staking Plans Strategy ยท 10 min

Fixed stakes, Kelly Criterion, and proportional betting explained.

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The Kelly Criterion Mathematics ยท 9 min

Optimal stake sizing using the mathematics of long-run bankroll growth.

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Expected Value in Betting Mathematics ยท 11 min

Calculate the EV of any bet and systematically find +EV opportunities.

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Arbitrage Betting Explained Pro Level ยท 8 min

Find and execute guaranteed profit opportunities across bookmakers.

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Value Betting vs Bookmaker Margin Fundamentals ยท 7 min

How overround works and why it matters for every bet you place.

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